CLIMATE [5] Climate LAND [4] Land MODELS [3] Models SOCIAL CONTEXT [7] Social context USERS [8] Users LIFE [3] Life WATER AND COAST [6] Water and coast TOPOGRAPHY AND GEOLOGY [10] Topography and geology VEGETATION [3] Vegetation Temperature ↔ Vegetation · physical flow Temperature ↔ The Coast, Estuaries + The Sea · physical flow Temperature → Topography · physical flow Land Managers → Topography · authority and regulation Land Managers → Temperature · authority and regulation The Land → Can we build Systems Models that can predict · authority and regulation Topography → Vegetation · physical flow Vegetation → Soil / Geology · authority and regulation Surface Roughness → Geology · physical flow Surface Roughness → Biogeochemistry · physical flow In-situ uses Users → Surface Roughness · authority and regulation · ‘In-situ uses’ In-situ uses Users → Rivers + water courses · authority and regulation · ‘In-situ uses’ Long term change → Rivers + water courses · physical flow Long term change → Ecosystems · physical flow Soil → Rivers + water courses · physical flow Rivers + water courses → Ecosystems · physical flow Biota defining quality Aquatic Biodiversity → Rivers + water courses · authority and regulation · ‘Biota defining quality’ Rivers + water courses ↔ Water Transport · physical flow Rivers + water courses ↔ Water Transport · authority and regulation Water Transport → Lakes / Wetlands · money (change) + values Water Transport → Rivers + water courses · money · ‘(change) + values’ Erosion / Change → Abstractors Discharge · physical flow Erosion / Change ↔ Abstractors Discharge · money Food production → Erosion / Change · physical flow Erosion / Change → Animals — Farm, wildlife, Domestic · physical flow Aquatic life → The Coast, Estuaries + The Sea · physical flow Increased Cultural Value The Coast, Estuaries + The Sea → Water Transport · money · ‘Increased Cultural Value’ Aquatic Biodiversity → Water Transport · money MONEY / RESOURCE Users ↔ Social context · money · ‘MONEY / RESOURCE’ FORMAL Social context → Users · authority and regulation · ‘FORMAL’ INFORMAL Social context → And can / will society work with these models · authority and regulation · ‘INFORMAL’ Can we build Systems Models that can predict → And can / will society work with these models · information, or anything else And can / will society work with these models → System · information, or anything else Climate — global / local Climate — global / local Climate future Climate future The Weather The Weather Precipitation Precipitation Temperature – Changing temperatures driven by climate change Temperature Land Managers Land Managers Landscape managers – Like National Trust Landscape managers The Land – Type, Status, impacts The Land Built Environment – Surfaces run off – Population demand – STW Built Environment System – There is no such thing as a land-water system (yet!) System And can / will society work with these models And can / will society work with these models Can we build Systems Models that can predict Can we build Systems Models that can predict Communities – Existing within landscape Communities The Artistic Sector – Cultural connection to water The Artistic Sector Regulation / Policy – Short term gov policy Regulation / Policy Rights of Rivers themselves – Having the right to have its own outcomes, not ours Rights of Rivers themselves Societal "Value" – kinship – cultural – economic Societal "Value" Spiritual – Is there a spiritual aspect? Spiritual Politics – Change of gov – Prioritisation of enviro / industry / PWS costs Politics Recreation + tourism Recreation + tourism Users – All users Users Recreational Water Users Recreational Water Users Water Transport – Barges – Canals – Houseboats – Docks + Shipping – Dredging Water Transport Abstractors Discharge – For People, Energy, Industry – Drinking water Abstractors Discharge Food production – Input to food supply Food production Water "farmers" — Fish, Watercress – Requirements for water quality + flow – Also impact quality Water "farmers" — Fish, Watercress Farmers – Big water users (abstractors) – Land managers – Fertilise soil & lead to run off Farmers Animals — Farm, wildlife, Domestic Animals — Farm, wildlife, Domestic Aquatic Biodiversity Aquatic Biodiversity Aquatic life Aquatic life Ecosystems – [mainly human modified] Ecosystems Rivers + water courses Rivers + water courses Lakes / Wetlands Lakes / Wetlands Floodplains, Estuaries etc – Coastal aquifers Floodplains, Estuaries etc Erosion / Change – Increased or active use – Shifts soil & debris (removes) – New materials – Do you control it or allow to evolve? Erosion / Change The Coast, Estuaries + The Sea – Historical use – Bathing waters – Constrained / Changing Modified The Coast, Estuaries + The Sea Topography Topography Soil / Geology – Hydrology Soil / Geology Land–water interface Land–water interface Surface Roughness – "Kinematic storage" Surface Roughness Geology – Drives water storage / flow Geology Biogeochemistry Biogeochemistry Soil biology Soil biology Aquifers Aquifers Long term change – Fossil water Long term change Soil – Regulates flows through the hydro. system Soil Fauna and Flora Fauna and Flora Vegetation Vegetation Plants — Crops, habitats, raw materials – Contains water – Delivers ecosystem services Plants — Crops, habitats, raw materials EVIDENCE GAP Link between Society + "Formal users" Evidence gap. Link between Society + "Formal users" EVIDENCE GAP Where are there Perverse Incentives? Regulation / Financial / Physical } that create strange outcomes GAP. Where are there Perverse Incentives? EVIDENCE GAP Where is our diversity of thinking? How do we access diverse groups? GAP. Where is our diversity of thinking? How do we access diverse groups? EVIDENCE GAP In past had top down. With new information ownership, can that work? How will society react? GAP. In past had top down. With new information ownership, can that work? How will society react? EVIDENCE GAP : Future Demand (SPATIAL) Gap: Future Demand (SPATIAL) SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE Can the system move as fast as the Climate drivers suggest we will need to, especially with uncertainty Can the system move as fast as the Climate drivers suggest we will need to, especially with uncertainty EVIDENCE GAP Predicted weather models for 2100 that work off some assumptions? Predicted weather models for 2100 that work off some assumptions? SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE Spatial Planning. Can it work? Spatial Planning. Can it work? SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE Balancing impact of land use (food production, built environment, housing) on the hydrological system Balancing impact of land use (food production, built environment, housing) on the hydrological system SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE The political timeframes limit ability to address long-term infrastructure challenges The political timeframes limit ability to address long-term infrastructure challenges SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE How do you maximise ‘value’ when you can’t define it or understand how it might change for each person How do you maximise ‘value’ when you can’t define it or understand how it might change for each person EVIDENCE GAP Get values from elsewhere in the world and apply them to here. Forum 4 T Future, or systems change globally Get values from elsewhere in the world and apply them to here. Forum 4 T Future, or systems change globally EVIDENCE GAP Future water and public health links. How will this change. Future water and public health links. How will this change. SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE How much are we prepared to intervene to make catchments work in a particular way? How much are we prepared to intervene to make catchments work in a particular way? EVIDENCE GAP How far can hard engineering take us, and at what cost? How far can hard engineering take us, and at what cost? SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE How much can we do to break this link? Increasing abstraction can’t be sustained by natural environment with changing biophysics (erosion / less rainfall) How much can we do to break this link? Increasing abstraction can’t be sustained by natural environment with changing biophysics (erosion / less rainfall) EVIDENCE GAP How vulnerable is our built env’t to weather in a changed climate (pipes, flood banks) How vulnerable is our built env’t to weather in a changed climate (pipes, flood banks) EVIDENCE GAP How might housing / tech changes / how people ‘live’ / peoples homes have changed requirements? How might housing / tech changes / how people ‘live’ / peoples homes have changed requirements? EVIDENCE GAP What if we didn’t supply drinking water? What if we didn’t supply drinking water? SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE SHIFTING BASELINES — governance models are becoming increasingly difficult to manage (regulate with standards) due to shifting bio-physical landscape SHIFTING BASELINES — governance models are becoming increasingly difficult to manage (regulate with standards) due to shifting bio-physical landscape EVIDENCE GAP How does shifting climates impact the bio-physical environment? (i.e. marine life, biodiversity) How does shifting climates impact the bio-physical environment? (i.e. marine life, biodiversity) SYSTEMIC CHALLENGE How do you manage and enable an uncertain future ecology through eg: regulatory, engineering levers? How do you manage and enable an uncertain future ecology through eg: regulatory, engineering levers? EVIDENCE GAP How far can we engineer nature in a catchment to relieve water pressures? How far can we engineer nature in a catchment to relieve water pressures? Social Context Influences Everything KEY Authority and regulation Physical flow Money Information, or anything else Starts here, acts on there Strained Evidence gap Systemic challenge Drag to move · scroll or pinch to zoom · double-click to zoom in
[*] What this is The Biophysical layer of the water–land system, as the Think Tank mapped it. Each circle is a group of actors; the lines between them are the relationships the group drew, coloured by what passes along them. Challenge notes and gaps sit beside the actors they were written against. Click an actor or a circle to see only its links.
54 actor cards · 9 clusters
33 relationships
18 challenge notes
[^] Key Authority and regulation Physical flow Money Information, or anything else → / ↔ one-way / reciprocal - - - strained • ▶ where a line starts and ends Evidence gap Systemic challenge
